Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8566433084a1feba199ff2b9e9eeb747e7cf00a6df610b3e1fbbf8d48e634a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 39c | 47,824$18,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,346.15 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 61c | 40,046$24,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,453.92 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 11,473$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 39c | 11,008$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 9,000$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.2 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.8 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 7,209$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 7,129$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 39c | 5,750$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.5 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 38c | 2,702$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.24 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 2,433$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.65 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 61c | 1,589$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.03 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,480$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 911.96$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 39c | 911.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.45 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 634.19$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 628.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 62c | 620$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 609.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.71 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 558.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Yes | 39c | 499.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66de…fe04backed Yes | 67c | 305$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 79c | 257$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 7c | 211.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 39c | 180.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 40c | 158$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 39c | 151.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 135$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…d13bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 70c | 118.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 61c | 112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes | 39c | 106.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 31c | 101.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 99.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 20c | 92.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Yes | 39c | 85.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed No | 61c | 79.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 61c | 79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed No | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 64.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…3fbbbacked Yes | 39c | 62.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…ddcebacked Yes | 59c | 58.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 52c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 53.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 30c | 46.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Yes | 39c | 41.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…9d4bbacked Yes | 73c | 38.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Yes | 39c | 36.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 57c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.