TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fad…374c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST18644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.01
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.12
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.28
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.45
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.05
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.99
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.35
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.53
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.18
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$65.25
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$164.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$65.76
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.15
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$150.89
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$8.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.8%+$7.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+566.7%+$150.17
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+126.1%+$37.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+146.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+77%+$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.