TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,050,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,174,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,050,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 871 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz33c271,785$89,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,328.8587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pelicans68c235,293$159,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,293.7243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz32c180,000$58,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,399.9248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans68c122,778$83,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,232.391,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz33c109,456$35,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,603.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pelicans67c82,394$55,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,388.169655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans67c82,110$54,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,119.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Pelicans79c65,124$51,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,658.715959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jazz32c60,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Jazz31c57,158$17,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,718.921942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans67c52,722$35,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,423.1138253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Pelicans68c46,955$31,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,990.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz32c43,157$13,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,983.1830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans69c40,317$27,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,498.381,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pelicans64c40,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans67c36,690$24,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,166.931,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans67c31,748$21,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,421.8159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pelicans65c28,775$18,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,118.1436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz32c28,488$9,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,258.651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jazz32c25,937$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,299.8414358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz0c25,036$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1427917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz4c20,641$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.851,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Jazz33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60062539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans66c19,895$13,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Jazz32c18,887$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.7229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c18,765$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz31c17,501$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.341,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz34c14,802$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans68c14,045$9,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.0328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pelicans68c12,848$8,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,111.3648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz32c12,445$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.9841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Pelicans70c12,420$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.726848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Pelicans70c12,344$8,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.358063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz39c12,258$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.0436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Pelicans69c12,254$8,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.83256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans68c12,091$8,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.3832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Jazz1c11,849$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.743179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans74c11,610$8,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pelicans68c11,558$7,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.429053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz1c10,857$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.781,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…59c8backed Jazz37c10,578$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jazz35c10,286$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Jazz1c10,156$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Pelicans65c9,804$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.7312245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Pelicans64c8,340$5,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Jazz37c8,100$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99710035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Pelicans63c8,100$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.949758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Jazz34c7,699$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.385038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c7,522$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.937211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pelicans67c7,236$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.8611955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pelicans70c7,213$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.2741954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Jazz7c7,186$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9310936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Pelicans68c7,150$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2883345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans67c7,036$4,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Pelicans66c6,868$4,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.5713842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pelicans67c6,496$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.4351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz2c6,419$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.591,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Jazz32c6,315$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.28138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz11c6,018$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.971,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Jazz37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Pelicans63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2208052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Pelicans68c5,882$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.358662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans72c5,692$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans68c5,555$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.637557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz3c5,521$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0728616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…3a49backed Pelicans63c5,481$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans72c5,386$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.363,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz6c5,179$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.851,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f6…6062backed Pelicans63c5,097$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz32c5,050$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6161,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Pelicans69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5507943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Jazz3c4,956$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.166238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz32c4,955$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.581,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz23c4,783$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans73c4,552$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.341,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Pelicans68c4,528$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.948765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Pelicans69c4,220$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.25655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Pelicans67c4,088$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.1442645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Pelicans74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.5312649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Pelicans70c4,006$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.83455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pelicans67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Pelicans68c3,924$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.1836950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Jazz28c3,853$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz20c3,582$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans64c3,549$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.941,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x157f…032fbacked Jazz37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Jazz32c3,447$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10314061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jazz31c3,250$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.8738148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans68c3,197$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jazz37c3,194$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.4654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Jazz33c3,083$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.3922051.8%114 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pelicans65c3,038$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.4540947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Jazz33c3,017$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.0619434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz34c3,010$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.