NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272cc469505b90a5a0ccd19e7cf7c9527272f18f3397c3c1686f74f24fca8f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 18,475$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,275.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 12,430$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,221.37 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 5,292$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.31 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 2,556$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 2,556$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 49c | 2,428$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.44 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 1,499$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.57 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 49c | 1,395$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.4 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 53c | 1,358$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.29 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,280$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.71 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 54c | 940.82$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.04 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 6c | 939.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 877.89$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 842.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 51c | 590.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 11c | 285$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 272.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 69c | 185$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 31c | 183$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 176.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 12c | 137.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 120.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 110.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 104.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 101.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 49c | 91.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 73.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 57.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…3a66backed Over | 49c | 56.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 44c | 34.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 54c | 29.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 46c | 22.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 46c | 21.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.