NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a0f670e9b897e175fc4c76e2c13e252d1042d357c0081f30f98837f6e9de9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 55c | 4,002$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.79 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,416$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.55 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 2,800$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 2,201$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 2,054$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.12 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 55c | 1,696$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 1,580$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.59 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,516$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 1,378$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 496.8$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 411$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 51c | 395.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 360.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 346$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 321.37$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 49c | 224$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 204.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 181.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…ce9abacked Under | 47c | 136.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 135.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 101.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 46c | 97.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 51c | 97.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 86.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 80.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 41.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 40.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…9f72backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…45dbbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…7671backed Over | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.