TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c17,479$8,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,213.152,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over53c11,187$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,257.9829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c11,110$5,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.661,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over56c5,532$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.5743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c3,326$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over64c3,140$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.4156453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under45c2,819$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.4625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,324$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c2,033$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over54c1,911$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.1426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,901$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.671,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over61c1,712$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.63,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over54c1,494$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.499556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under44c1,239$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over56c1,070$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under35c1,060$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.071,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over56c849.74$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under43c796$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c774.45$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c772.23$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under46c760.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1716…d2b5backed Over50c718.82$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.411384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over51c707.05$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3617953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c630$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c597.66$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.771,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over54c496.86$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c467.91$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c445$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c435.64$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c412.61$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under41c394.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c329.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under22c265$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1114255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over71c251.26$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c236$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.081,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over59c226.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under35c225.51$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under47c212.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0224428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Under9c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.735531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c199.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c196.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff25…960cbacked Under11c182.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+421.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c164.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638447.6%40 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under47c114.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0420140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Under46c84.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under46c73.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under32c73.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4639047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over79c73.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.045966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c72.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under47c68.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.316953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c64.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Under24c62.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eca…9b1bbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c57.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Under42c50.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under46c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d26…0635backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under43c47.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2419245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7162049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.645158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…d35bbacked Over55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under28c37.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Under38c31.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.938540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.195260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.930840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under48c28.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9618250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under39c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5332352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Under42c26.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.156735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Under46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over60c26.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c25.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.123350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over59c21.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.746141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5299…be81backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e67…7566backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478d…5202backed Over54c18.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.