TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Jazz48c513,604$246,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,527.587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans52c500,998$260,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,479.041,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120a…ed97backed Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz49c10,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans52c7,551$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz46c5,955$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pelicans51c3,019$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.1529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pelicans52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c53…d737backed Pelicans52c2,284$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Pelicans48c2,034$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.3213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans52c2,003$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans49c1,761$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.211,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Pelicans58c1,717$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6110045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz46c1,709$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.722,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz46c1,625$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jazz51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61233146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans51c1,132$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.062,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz17c1,058$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.561,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz42c1,056$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Pelicans55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4508057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Pelicans54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans52c996$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Pelicans52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43210251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Pelicans52c599.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans51c531.35$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans52c501.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz47c457.01$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Jazz3c368.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz46c317$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Jazz47c255.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pelicans54c221.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz48c208.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Jazz52c192.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Pelicans52c190.47$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.436746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jazz47c181$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans53c174.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1644352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans48c172.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Pelicans52c171.51$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3212349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz35c165.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Pelicans55c158.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Pelicans52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans54c149.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdced…8a25backed Jazz46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Jazz53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans52c123.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.442,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz18c111.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Jazz21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2149938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pelicans52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Jazz49c98.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans56c95.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.943,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Pelicans52c92.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.755038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Pelicans55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9116450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pelicans51c84.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Pelicans55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Pelicans52c69.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc212…c8ebbacked Jazz46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.368041.3%33 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans53c61.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pelicans52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.837549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Pelicans53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.637852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Pelicans63c55.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Jazz46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pelicans52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Pelicans49c42.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pelicans51c41.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz42c39.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Pelicans53c37.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.596344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Pelicans55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Pelicans54c34.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5314847.3%70 W · 78 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz45c31.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c83…3a66backed Pelicans53c30.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.332661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Jazz48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jazz49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed84…eb5fbacked Pelicans79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Jazz46c25.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Jazz47c22.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5230151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked Jazz51c21.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Pelicans53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Pelicans58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.564744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.