TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc212…c8eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT8050%40 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT8041.3%33 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.66
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.18
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-11.5)backed UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-10.5)backed Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.64
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$28.12
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Siena Saintsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-70.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.64
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+165.6%+$43.31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.92
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+300%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.