NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74cb923ee08f7f32c7f3e83f296bd2d613b9ab7c850536eceea37c871552e3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Capitals, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,515,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,515,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Flyers | 46c | 400,100$183,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,903.71 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 54c | 134,171$72,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,794.25 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 54c | 112,592$60,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,652.54 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 54c | 69,894$37,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,742.49 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 55c | 67,655$37,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,210.25 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000.23 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 54c | 25,760$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,899.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Capitals | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 45c | 18,403$8,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,185.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Capitals | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Capitals | 30c | 15,331$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.69 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 46c | 14,799$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Capitals | 55c | 12,740$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 44c | 11,548$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.92 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 46c | 10,989$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.87 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 54c | 9,960$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Capitals | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Capitals | 30c | 8,021$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.01 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 65c | 6,896$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 56c | 6,782$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Capitals | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Capitals | 6c | 5,998$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.36 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flyers | 71c | 5,391$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.35 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Capitals | 56c | 5,250$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Capitals | 55c | 5,249$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.68 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Flyers | 44c | 5,010$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Flyers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…fa87backed Capitals | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…1ae5backed Flyers | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…3652backed Flyers | 47c | 3,750$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…e562backed Capitals | 53c | 3,750$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Capitals | 55c | 3,705$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.45 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 52c | 3,599$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.35 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flyers | 44c | 3,333$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.31 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flyers | 44c | 3,330$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.69 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 68c | 3,287$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Flyers | 47c | 3,131$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 55c | 2,990$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Capitals | 55c | 2,746$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…a6e0backed Flyers | 45c | 2,626$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…56a5backed Capitals | 55c | 2,570$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flyers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…fbeabacked Capitals | 55c | 2,427$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…2836backed Capitals | 54c | 2,412$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…a99ebacked Flyers | 45c | 2,372$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flyers | 46c | 2,348$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.34 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 36c | 2,306$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.37 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Flyers | 45c | 2,153$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flyers | 45c | 2,001$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.11 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 29c | 1,999$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…dcc9backed Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7e…6222backed Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…85b3backed Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…66ffbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…6e56backed Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…cf75backed Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…7d4fbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…74ecbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…89cbbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…43f9backed Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1763…7756backed Capitals | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…8756backed Flyers | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…386bbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…ba6dbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…bec6backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…72c8backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bd7abacked Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…7a8cbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…46b2backed Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4071…d7a4backed Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…e474backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…035fbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…099cbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…ec56backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…7d82backed Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…c8e3backed Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…2ce1backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…41b8backed Capitals | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…ae33backed Flyers | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d81…d4d9backed Flyers | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…6629backed Capitals | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…566fbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…c014backed Capitals | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…9784backed Capitals | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a5…aaa7backed Capitals | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…d861backed Flyers | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…614dbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…afa2backed Flyers | 48c | 1,985$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…2aa7backed Flyers | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…b518backed Flyers | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…164bbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…c5bbbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…a8bebacked Flyers | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Flyersthis page
- Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.