TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90ed…b5bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
418
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst IPO at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.53
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.26
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.84
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$444.39
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.33
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,933.12
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.87
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15,285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$9,152.96
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$433.29
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.95
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$1,744.27
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.11
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.79
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,833.13
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,744.17
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,328.35
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$755.48
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,155.44
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$733.25
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,566.51
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$4,488.39
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+98%+$1,099.87
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.79
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$1,330.89
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT8719.5%17 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.55
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$58.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.98
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,860Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$1,185.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.62
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.76
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$527.36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$807.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+583%+$6,647.02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$458.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+74.3%+$1,593.38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,350.24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.82
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.55
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.55
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$740.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$577.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+293.1%+$129,859.6
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,565.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,599
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,238.68
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+190.8%+$13,111.76
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+485.1%+$20,264.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$233.31
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,566.49
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$279.96
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,140.69
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19,454.27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$891.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,085.65
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$544.39
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$644.38
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$244.42
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$267.63
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13,501.5
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$733.26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$609.72
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23,782.23
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+55.5%+$10,671.64
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,856.1%+$11,216.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,734.18
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,466.3
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,782.19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.18
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.81
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.96
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.41
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344.31
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$466.61
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.21
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.65
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$373.52
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.12
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+147%+$1,322.24
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722.05
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$286.45
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$607.19
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$666.6
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$453.54
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,399.86
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$822.14
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+209.3%+$2,255.33
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,355.42
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49%+$146.08
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,066.56
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$461.2
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13,467.7
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+79.6%+$1,477.63
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$355.52
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,177.66
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,066.91
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,166.55
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$3,777.4
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,188.97
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+197.9%+$5,166.13
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$555.5
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,333.2
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$755.48
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,633.17
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$3,641.79
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$944.35
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,899.71
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$239.76
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.47
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$74.19
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$68.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.61
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+666.8%+$21,255.41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,171.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.48
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.43
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,595.81
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,666.62
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,185.46
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,844.26
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.82
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,099.77
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$533.27
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,206.83
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.88
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,732.96
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.78
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.72
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.26
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,417.8
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,761.35
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,225.07
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,007.78
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,910.34
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$2,651.14
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,333.09
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.55
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,999.7
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.41
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,698.14
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.96
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,083.97
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$2,560.98
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,121.91
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,685Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$2,840.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-86.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.42
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$83.25
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,726.64
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$84.69
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,322.41
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$506.57
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,618.17
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,921.59
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$6,472.16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45,610.04
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18,067.22
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.55
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$6,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$6,753.77
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32,701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+103.6%+$33,887.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$377.73
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,007.58
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,204.14
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$183.14
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,512.21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.66
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+669.2%+$503.72
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$234.32
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70.52
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+89.1%+$150.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+215.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+373.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+90.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$411.37
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+97%+$2,245.93
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,089.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+261%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$157.04
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+622%+$10,198.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$933.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,370.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$949.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,506.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$933.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.