Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d08345fd0012398efcd53ce4d349a0e53fbe9745b92abef8b08054049bc3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Duke Blue Devils, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,555 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 48,591$24,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,781.34 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 29,857$14,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,227.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Siena Saints | 49c | 28,879$14,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,817.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed Siena Saints | 49c | 12,832$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Siena Saints | 49c | 12,826$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,541.06 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 10,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 9,932$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Siena Saints | 48c | 9,262$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.19 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 5,948$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 5,885$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.61 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 5,526$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 5,060$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 4,722$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.41 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 4,553$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 4,480$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.58 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…8232backed Siena Saints | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 3,749$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Siena Saints | 48c | 3,642$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.03 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 3,004$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.89 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 2,859$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Siena Saints | 48c | 2,778$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.31 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Siena Saints | 50c | 2,620$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,494$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.76 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Siena Saints | 48c | 2,318$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.48 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Siena Saints | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Siena Saints | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,942$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.37 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,630$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Siena Saints | 49c | 1,492$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.69 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Siena Saints | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,093$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Duke Blue Devils | 3c | 1,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 1,060$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.1 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Siena Saints | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Siena Saints | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 829.59$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Duke Blue Devils | 42c | 819.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Siena Saints | 49c | 801.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 754.08$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.58 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Siena Saints | 51c | 700$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 670.7$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.04 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Siena Saints | 48c | 587.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Siena Saints | 49c | 572.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 527.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 523.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.46 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 505.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Siena Saints | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Siena Saints | 48c | 488.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Siena Saints | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked Siena Saints | 48c | 397.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Siena Saints | 48c | 362.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Siena Saints | 48c | 354.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.14 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Siena Saints | 47c | 339.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 298.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Siena Saints | 49c | 262.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 240.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Siena Saints | 49c | 228.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 228.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 228.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…3d0cbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 197.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Siena Saints | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Siena Saints | 49c | 171.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 148.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 147.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Siena Saints | 48c | 144.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 139.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Siena Saints | 50c | 127.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Siena Saints | 48c | 124.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…2af6backed Siena Saints | 49c | 121.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 118.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 114.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 111.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Siena Saints | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Siena Saints | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Siena Saints | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…eb17backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 91.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 86.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Siena Saints | 48c | 84.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Siena Saints | 37c | 82.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Siena Saints | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 136.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 144.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 150.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.