Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4174dab0a74741bece8d56ad361648ffdf5679912025140f3e9dcc4975f6310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 7,200$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.63 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 47c | 6,244$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.89 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Under | 48c | 3,493$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,389$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…2757backed Under | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Under | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,944$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.82 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,774$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.35 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 48c | 1,442$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.18 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 55c | 1,318$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.92 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 995.06$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.68 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 952.87$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 48c | 946.78$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.45 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 53c | 845.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.11 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 53c | 716.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 682.6$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.35 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 48c | 639.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.37 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 620.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under | 49c | 603.43$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 595.12$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 45c | 562.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Under | 48c | 554$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…1f13backed Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 31c | 496.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Under | 52c | 378.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 272.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Over | 51c | 268.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…1567backed Over | 51c | 268.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Under | 49c | 252.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 247.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Under | 48c | 224.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…3cf4backed Over | 52c | 212.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…a6d2backed Under | 49c | 197.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e72bbacked Under | 49c | 189.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Over | 54c | 185.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…1371backed Over | 64c | 185.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 183.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…34bdbacked Over | 52c | 182.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…119bbacked Over | 52c | 174.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 39c | 171.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…039bbacked Under | 49c | 168.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…99e1backed Under | 49c | 165.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Under | 13c | 154.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…b6acbacked Over | 52c | 151.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 138$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 127.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 78c | 111.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…50b3backed Under | 47c | 102.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 101.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed Over | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 36c | 90.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 51c | 87.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 84.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 70.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…9851backed Under | 29c | 67.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 62.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 32c | 62.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6a7dbacked Under | 33c | 59.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 55c | 53.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 47c | 53.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 51.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Under | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Over | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Over | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 44.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa977…f09dbacked Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…cd8dbacked Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Over | 49c | 35.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Over | 52c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 55c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5this page
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 136.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 144.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 150.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.