TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x087b…713e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$191
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$166.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.58
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$329.95
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.46
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+320.2%+$190.49
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$99.26
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.42
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$170
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.55
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.45
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.77
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,559.97
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$172.36
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.98
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.81
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Khaos Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+207%+$2,360
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.27
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,340
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463.14
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$1,592
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.86
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.79
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$96.17
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$915.2
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $295 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$45.69
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$55.69
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.55
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$336.46
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$141.27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$118.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+508.6%+$3,051.42
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Finland vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.61
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Malta win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+30%+$3.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$1,300
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.3%+$222.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$64.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.