NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777cfed7e6db9f8708bf66a8574cb03073cb927635f15e15a76f78ebf449026f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,302,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,584,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,302,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 50c | 342,322$171,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,418.07 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Penguins | 50c | 252,612$126,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,437.97 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Penguins | 72c | 130,488$93,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,536.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 72c | 109,281$78,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,596.1 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 50c | 94,076$47,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,037.95 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 72c | 89,656$64,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,103.63 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Penguins | 72c | 85,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Penguins | 51c | 64,360$32,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,830.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 50c | 25,049$12,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,520.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 50c | 24,459$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.56 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Devils | 49c | 23,862$11,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,692.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Penguins | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Devils | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Penguins | 50c | 15,625$7,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844.26 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Devils | 43c | 11,690$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.17 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 50c | 10,690$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.33 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Penguins | 71c | 10,519$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.63 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Penguins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Penguins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 49c | 7,904$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.17 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Devils | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 71c | 7,068$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.81 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Devils | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Penguins | 50c | 7,000$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 49c | 6,916$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.15 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins | 71c | 6,719$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.86 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Penguins | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Devils | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 78c | 5,981$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.08 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…bfbcbacked Penguins | 49c | 5,566$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Devils | 49c | 5,205$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.05 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Penguins | 49c | 5,026$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.89 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 49c | 4,894$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.47 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 49c | 4,797$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.39 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Devils | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 74c | 4,192$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.27 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…1e61backed Devils | 0c | 4,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 72c | 4,128$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.81 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 49c | 4,003$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.56 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Devils | 15c | 3,668$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 48c | 3,392$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Penguins | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…38e9backed Penguins | 51c | 3,247$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins | 50c | 3,240$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…89bfbacked Penguins | 51c | 3,106$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 72c | 3,049$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.62 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2594backed Penguins | 50c | 3,046$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…33e4backed Devils | 50c | 3,003$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Penguins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Devils | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Devils | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Devils | 51c | 2,999$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.41 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…0061backed Devils | 50c | 2,975$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…2e8dbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,932$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 75c | 2,716$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Devils | 50c | 2,485$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.04 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Devils | 51c | 2,373$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.79 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Devils | 21c | 2,209$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.59 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…5ba9backed Devils | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Devils | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 74c | 2,136$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 60c | 2,133$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.19 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…fd53backed Devils | 50c | 2,112$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…40e3backed Devils | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Devils | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Penguins | 50c | 1,995$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.97 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Penguins | 69c | 1,906$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.18 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 59c | 1,868$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.93 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 18c | 1,845$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 49c | 1,611$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.48 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 50c | 1,576$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.11 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Penguins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 72c | 1,290$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Penguins | 67c | 1,265$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Penguins | 71c | 1,232$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Penguins | 68c | 1,208$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…b86ebacked Devils | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Devils | 36c | 1,179$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.88 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Devils | 48c | 1,070$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 49c | 1,049$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.98 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Devils | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.75 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Penguins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Devils | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Penguins | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Devilsthis page
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-2.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.