NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd146b2718d5674074a19c49b3d2335a4a662fce4d2886c7ad08bae483428744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 55c | 118,674$65,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,403.47 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 112,134$50,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,460.48 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 40,394$19,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,389 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…bfbcbacked Under | 47c | 10,573$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 8,933$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.78 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 45c | 6,257$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.88 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 47c | 5,304$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 5,149$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 4,093$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.18 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Under | 45c | 3,619$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.55 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 49c | 3,053$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 51c | 2,696$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked Under | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,835$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 51c | 1,623$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.21 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 49c | 1,537$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under | 48c | 1,505$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 1,489$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.79 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 1,323$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.12 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 45c | 1,259$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.03 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 1,073$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.32 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 18c | 1,065$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 44c | 990.91$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 901.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 45c | 825$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 823.28$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Under | 46c | 578$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 48c | 506.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Under | 45c | 482$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 53c | 480.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 478.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 438$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 421$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 399.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 398$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 303$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 45c | 295.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 295.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6dd4backed Under | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f92…a709backed Over | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Over | 53c | 256.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 243.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 56c | 234.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 217.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Under | 46c | 192$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 166.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 58c | 155.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 56c | 155.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 64c | 140.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 56c | 139.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 55c | 134.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 132.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Under | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 129.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 63c | 129.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 56c | 118.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 112.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 137 | 58.4%80 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 71c | 104.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 103.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 47c | 97.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…47b3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Over | 56c | 89.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…8a4dbacked Over | 51c | 86.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 51c | 85.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…399fbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 55c | 80.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 79.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 45c | 76.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. DevilsPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-2.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.