TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd90f…b6da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.55
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$86.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$129.01
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.22
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.7
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.93
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.37
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.47
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$77.57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.19
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.27
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$313.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+105%+$186.29
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$202.19
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$48.19
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$208.99
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$88.67
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.46
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.59
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$22.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+333.2%+$457.34
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$81.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$69.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$398.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$54.54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$197.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$112.6
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$44.97
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.96
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$224.4
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.33
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.09
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.18
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.67
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.21
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$243.13
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.4
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$378.16
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$75.82
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$642.18
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$255.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.63
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$44.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$159.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$46.66
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$50.76
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$64.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.93
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$98.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$46.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.71
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$98.45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.56
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$80.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$292.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$28.69
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.89
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+209%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$39.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$344.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+176.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+153.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$114.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$146.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$71.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$86.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.