Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28571a2f01612883911c86ff114574c34d5e19baacb09875fef96a249d94aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 73c | 6,266$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.14 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed No | 0c | 5,809$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 36c | 5,022$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.18 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked No | 0c | 4,880$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 60c | 4,841$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.95 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…6658backed No | 0c | 4,566$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 6c | 4,248$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 62c | 4,017$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.08 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 27c | 3,921$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.4 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 39c | 3,901$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.75 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 44c | 3,632$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.46 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…425cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,292$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 71c | 3,250$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.5 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 31c | 3,136$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 72c | 3,132$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.1 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 3,015$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 37c | 2,963$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.69 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 72c | 2,879$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.64 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 25c | 2,865$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.25 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 1c | 2,666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,523$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 56c | 2,392$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.76 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed No | 52c | 1,932$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.86 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 1,755$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 50c | 1,658$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.85 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 42c | 1,568$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.08 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 2c | 1,499$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…b14fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,383$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,189$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 50c | 1,177$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.38 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 48c | 1,063$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 43c | 1,059$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.59 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…b49cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,001$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 74c | 999.99$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…9c25backed Yes | 75c | 982.12$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6e3abacked Yes | 50c | 981.66$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…765abacked Yes | 73c | 948.42$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 69c | 941.08$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 70c | 933.41$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.74 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 80c | 927.31$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 906$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 900$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes | 44c | 861.22$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 47c | 836.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.52 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 34c | 835.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 78c | 817.74$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 79c | 744.33$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…6178backed No | 12c | 743.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 22c | 742.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 24c | 719.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 54c | 709.24$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…bcbfbacked Yes | 78c | 627.69$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…b9eebacked No | 55c | 624.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked Yes | 76c | 588.18$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…8354backed Yes | 74c | 586.22$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 68c | 585.54$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes | 70c | 580.31$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 20c | 559.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 66c | 548.42$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9a02backed No | 7c | 530.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 46c | 510.74$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…44edbacked Yes | 42c | 507.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…f79abacked No | 58c | 498.92$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 63c | 467.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 55c | 448.7$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…8b84backed Yes | 71c | 446.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 73c | 427.44$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 47c | 405.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4239…5dafbacked Yes | 73c | 401.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 72c | 400.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6a21backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e18…9fd6backed No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed No | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Yes | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 65c | 398.62$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 49c | 386.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…d5cebacked No | 59c | 383.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 79c | 356.11$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…ac7fbacked Yes | 76c | 345.75$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes | 44c | 324.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 45c | 318.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…5962backed Yes | 45c | 316.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…2004backed Yes | 72c | 309.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 63c | 308$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 63c | 304.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 301.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed No | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…6f6fbacked Yes | 43c | 299.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…427dbacked No | 27c | 296.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 78c | 293$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…0ae3backed No | 12c | 290.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 275.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…0203backed No | 14c | 269.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 70c | 268.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…f604backed Yes | 75c | 260.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.