TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x016a…6f6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$170.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$195.89
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$90.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Tristan McCormick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$110.81
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.2
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Trieste: Maxim Mrva vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+323%+$361.81
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$202.57
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Sotobacked Mwendwa Mbithi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$185.99
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+491.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$498.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.