Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe68c46611e18d6598e3882388af9567901b78ca3937edcecd3facc0d698c370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Naomi Osaka, Karolina Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,396,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,635,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,396,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Karolina Muchova | 55c | 1,265,415$692,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572,504.58 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Naomi Osaka | 46c | 664,127$302,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,897.5 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 283,153$117,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,139.05 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Naomi Osaka | 51c | 266,909$135,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,626.32 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Naomi Osaka | 58c | 206,387$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 51c | 88,974$45,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,595.04 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Naomi Osaka | 43c | 83,282$35,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,711.25 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Naomi Osaka | 54c | 57,699$30,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,995.38 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…dbbdbacked Naomi Osaka | 57c | 46,080$26,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,265.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Naomi Osaka | 47c | 34,952$16,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,539.48 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Naomi Osaka | 57c | 29,686$16,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,921.09 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Naomi Osaka | 42c | 27,399$11,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,548.72 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 23,875$15,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.38 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Naomi Osaka | 45c | 22,219$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.84 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ab72backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 22,106$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Naomi Osaka | 50c | 20,509$10,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.17 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 16,900$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,570.1 | 350 | 57.4%201 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 16,350$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,205.97 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Naomi Osaka | 56c | 16,161$8,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,997.98 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka | 61c | 14,190$8,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,642.31 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Karolina Muchova | 71c | 14,155$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.2 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Karolina Muchova | 48c | 13,329$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.99 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 12,015$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.2 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Naomi Osaka | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Karolina Muchova | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Naomi Osaka | 45c | 10,892$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.36 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Naomi Osaka | 47c | 10,868$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.66 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Karolina Muchova | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Karolina Muchova | 45c | 9,938$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.23 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka | 57c | 9,636$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 9,371$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,247.85 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 8,918$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Karolina Muchova | 73c | 8,500$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.99 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Karolina Muchova | 59c | 7,856$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.82 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 7,715$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.87 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Naomi Osaka | 59c | 6,999$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.28 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Karolina Muchova | 67c | 6,964$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.09 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Naomi Osaka | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 6,473$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.64 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Naomi Osaka | 56c | 6,255$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.55 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 6,112$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.87 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Naomi Osaka | 28c | 5,839$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.81 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Naomi Osaka | 55c | 5,790$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.85 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Naomi Osaka | 45c | 5,605$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.3 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Naomi Osaka | 24c | 5,431$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Karolina Muchova | 35c | 5,420$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.62 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Naomi Osaka | 54c | 4,921$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.34 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Naomi Osaka | 45c | 4,550$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 4,324$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.01 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4a…5c3cbacked Naomi Osaka | 44c | 4,114$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Karolina Muchova | 72c | 3,870$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.6 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 3,759$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.83 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 3,600$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.76 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…f69abacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…90ccbacked Karolina Muchova | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.99 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 3,381$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.08 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Naomi Osaka | 50c | 3,334$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.3 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Karolina Muchova | 38c | 3,330$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Naomi Osaka | 51c | 3,281$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.02 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Naomi Osaka | 34c | 3,225$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Naomi Osaka | 28c | 3,200$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Naomi Osaka | 57c | 2,857$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.75 | 511 | 42.7%218 W · 293 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…cfafbacked Naomi Osaka | 47c | 2,734$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Naomi Osaka | 59c | 2,705$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.24 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Naomi Osaka | 43c | 2,679$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.57 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Naomi Osaka | 36c | 2,639$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 2,620$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.58 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 2,600$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.98 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Karolina Muchova | 28c | 2,589$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.18 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Naomi Osaka | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Naomi Osaka | 55c | 2,545$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 50c | 2,431$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.9 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Naomi Osaka | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Karolina Muchova | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Naomi Osaka | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Karolina Muchova | 48c | 2,191$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.4 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Naomi Osaka | 55c | 2,189$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Karolina Muchova | 44c | 2,168$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Naomi Osaka | 56c | 2,159$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.18 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Naomi Osaka | 35c | 2,030$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.55 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Naomi Osaka | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Naomi Osaka | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Naomi Osaka | 32c | 1,945$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.43 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Karolina Muchova | 73c | 1,920$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.68 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 1,803$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Naomi Osaka | 56c | 1,789$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.84 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Naomi Osaka | 57c | 1,761$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.55 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Naomi Osaka | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Naomi Osaka | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Karolina Muchova | 55c | 1,750$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Naomi Osaka | 42c | 1,741$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…edd8backed Naomi Osaka | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Naomi Osaka | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Karolina Muchova | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Naomi Osaka | 34c | 1,679$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.51 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Muchova | 54c | 1,660$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.56 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Karolina Muchova | 45c | 1,650$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.44 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovathis page
- Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Osaka vs. Muchova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs MuchovaMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Osaka vs MuchovaMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.