TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f90…90cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,731.17
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,596.89
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,567.95
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,052.6
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaevabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Segovia: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Zug: Harold Mayot vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$509.09
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$899.99
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,737.36
Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesibacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$1,542.32
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$2,039.99
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Iasi Open: Emiliana Arango vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$1,368.07
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$1,382.55
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$9,063.38
Athens Open: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontamabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$2,657.14
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,157.72
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$4,918.27
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5,069.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$4,460.36
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,382.98
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$598.5
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208.47
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,779.66
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,296
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,936.51
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$1,972.68
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,128.21
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+251%+$1,505.91
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$89.35
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+73.2%+$73.19
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+146.1%+$146.15
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,745.92
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,972.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$342.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$747.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.