TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,146,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,146,716 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbc…f9a2backed Yes36c3,752,929$1,368,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384,071.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No63c527,908$330,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330,674.026844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Yes35c509,236$180,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328,786.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c328,307$212,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,024.0526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No64c286,000$183,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,6204346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No63c277,709$175,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175,320.476657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No65c250,000$163,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes35c221,597$77,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,038.327346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No65c214,598$139,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,488.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c167,807$56,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,561.3429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No64c162,546$104,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,029.443237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c161,919$81,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,165.561,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No65c146,536$95,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,636.816442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes33c146,369$48,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,961.213245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No65c144,504$93,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,9741838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes35c130,009$45,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,354.951643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No35c129,669$45,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,116.85128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c126,764$85,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,010.7861447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes35c100,180$34,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,517.861560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes35c89,820$31,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,383.028751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c88,060$57,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,687.8159441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Yes35c81,766$28,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,147.933548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No67c79,300$53,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,131616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No63c70,078$44,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,149.198258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No67c70,000$46,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,9003941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No65c69,300$44,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,7092832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No65c66,231$43,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,049.943751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No65c54,215$35,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,307.13447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No65c46,569$30,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,300.393141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No65c46,063$29,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,888.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No65c43,200$28,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,0233050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes33c42,809$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,709.051533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c41,500$26,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,434.9328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No65c41,400$26,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,7961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No65c35,400$23,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes33c35,039$11,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,562.122142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No64c33,957$21,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,732.423452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No65c32,035$20,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,942.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No66c30,073$19,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,769.3926445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No64c28,935$18,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,502.854641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No64c27,090$17,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,278.510850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No67c26,413$17,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,596.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No65c26,180$17,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,103.23429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes33c25,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,749.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No65c24,700$16,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0402445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No64c24,591$15,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,845.7116144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed No62c24,056$15,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,014.521163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No64c23,290$14,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,974714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked No64c23,256$14,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,883.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No65c22,760$14,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7944346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No68c21,685$14,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,745.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No67c20,000$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,4006344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,4008740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No63c18,888$11,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,899.4413843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No66c18,288$12,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,055.322744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No66c17,004$11,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,222.481030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No65c17,000$11,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,050933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No67c16,763$11,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,222.031450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes33c16,444$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,017.4829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes31c16,230$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,198.81580%12 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No67c16,000$10,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7206643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No67c15,552$10,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,419.842050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No62c15,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.993545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No56c14,327$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.39348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes36c13,889$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,888.893735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No67c13,499$9,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,104.655944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No65c13,000$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4508231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No62c12,500$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,75011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No65c11,469$7,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,442.6710660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No65c11,382$7,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,398.573151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Yes32c11,219$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,628.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No15c11,119$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.872360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No64c11,000$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,989.985550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No65c10,900$7,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,067.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c10,541$4,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,496.261,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No65c10,403$6,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,762633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c10,396$6,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,678.7612352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c10,293$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,919.6438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No63c10,100$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,408.456451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed No67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No64c9,898$6,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,343.85444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No66c9,590$6,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,32520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No67c9,216$6,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,203.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No60c9,197$5,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.2510849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Yes35c9,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8501546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No68c9,000$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,084.845248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c8,336$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes61c8,335$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.953727%10 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No67c8,185$5,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,501.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No63c8,011$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No68c8,000$5,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,407.965549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No64c7,965$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c7,345$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No12c6,745$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.8734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes32c6,666$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.838938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No36c6,386$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.542445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2503871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x893a…29dcbacked Yes32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,250450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No65c6,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.