Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f897962828b30476bcb321821f341964e6633923f3d97d36039a53c4dff143b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,418,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,417,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,418,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbc…f9a2backed No | 60c | 2,084,221$1,244,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839,502.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…a747backed Yes | 34c | 610,513$208,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,347.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 42c | 470,000$196,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,399.98 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 40c | 412,863$164,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,955.84 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 376,345$150,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,493.07 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 218,787$89,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,297.25 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 40c | 166,667$66,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,666.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 56c | 121,002$68,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,830.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 58c | 83,949$49,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,940.02 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 43c | 75,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 72,731$38,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,183.6 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 41c | 68,635$27,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,870.47 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 55c | 63,919$35,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,763.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed No | 54c | 63,566$34,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,240.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 42c | 60,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 47c | 53,230$24,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,885.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 59c | 50,847$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,847.46 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed No | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 43c | 45,645$19,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,486.52 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 40,346$16,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,816.16 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed No | 58c | 38,242$22,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,061.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 41c | 26,600$10,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,820.91 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Yes | 41c | 25,936$10,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,633.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 40c | 23,000$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9344…56a6backed No | 57c | 22,294$12,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,487.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 53c | 22,044$11,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,360.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…2360backed Yes | 46c | 21,565$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…29a1backed Yes | 46c | 20,510$9,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 42c | 20,481$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,503.32 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 54c | 16,299$8,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,497.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 57c | 15,747$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 47c | 15,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 45c | 14,796$6,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 14,601$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.86 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 46c | 13,166$6,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.19 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 23c | 12,973$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…bdb2backed No | 54c | 12,965$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 56c | 12,038$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 11,172$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 53c | 10,896$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.9 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 40c | 10,070$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 9,364$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.94 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked No | 54c | 9,096$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…630abacked No | 54c | 9,018$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 8,999$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.35 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 53c | 8,754$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 8,589$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.83 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 7,605$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.39 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 7,445$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.14 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c372backed No | 54c | 7,399$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 42c | 7,092$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 43c | 6,670$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 54c | 6,509$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…d06fbacked No | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Yes | 47c | 6,424$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 6,400$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…b3dfbacked No | 54c | 6,257$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 40c | 6,033$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 5,555$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.73 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 4c | 5,503$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 7c | 5,180$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 5,010$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.6 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 42c | 4,630$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Yes | 5c | 4,580$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,552$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 43c | 4,492$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.74 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 42c | 4,444$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed No | 54c | 4,194$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 6c | 4,154$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Yes | 41c | 4,050$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.97 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 40c | 3,983$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 16c | 3,710$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 3,706$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.46 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Yes | 41c | 3,700$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 41c | 3,461$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.58 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 3,286$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.75 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +12.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 37c | 3,134$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.33 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 53c | 3,110$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.56 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 57c | 3,011$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.06 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 43c | 2,953$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.