TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,469 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes23c60,886$14,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,003.881533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c36,097$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.196221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes23c33,000$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5901855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c26,271$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.821,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c25,542$19,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.3358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c21,763$16,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,005.7963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c16,805$12,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.043063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c16,578$12,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.9959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No78c16,170$12,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No77c14,229$10,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.6626645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c14,120$10,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.8626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes23c12,652$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.9124742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes22c11,573$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.8810849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Yes23c11,217$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c8,126$6,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.0312352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes23c6,165$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No78c5,492$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No76c4,147$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603727%10 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes12c3,059$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes23c2,987$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes1c2,809$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes3c2,789$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1739743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes12c2,750$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9914532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c2,400$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003225%8 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes23c1,996$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No77c1,697$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c1,564$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.798523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes19c1,395$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.463122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed No76c1,321$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…942abacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes22c1,286$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2836225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes9c1,284$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes21c1,146$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes22c997.82$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.522927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No78c924.99$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.916144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No77c844.14$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.158146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c799.98$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No77c799.96$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.995549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No77c787.55$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.145944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes23c739.13$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No78c656.03$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.352254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.357145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked No78c640$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No78c640$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c583$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No77c577.38$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes23c560.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c547.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.554233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes23c499.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.63946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c457$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4115349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…3313backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93e…e383backed Yes22c436.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes12c415.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes23c409.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8813349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce32…5757backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b3…d3debacked Yes26c383.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43b…7bc6backed Yes23c378.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes10c370$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No77c345$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.353151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes9c339.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c334.81$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3313146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes21c332.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.939034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes14c320.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.322420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No78c320.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4712935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes19c304.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.562740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71de…57f0backed Yes26c304.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2206…e347backed No74c304.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1e…9d4cbacked Yes10c297.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+66.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3b7…4e8abacked Yes23c292.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…a05cbacked No77c292.2$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes25c285$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes23c282.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.042846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.