TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1fc…bcdf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.7
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50.56
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.45
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Froelunda HCbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100.8
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Jose Barracudabacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$82.17
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122.11
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$100.11
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$100.64
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$149.37
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$112.88
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Utica Cometsbacked Rochester Americans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$148.77
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$191.28
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$197.85
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$197.85
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Koelner Haiebacked ERC Ingolstadt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.27
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$197.41
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$190.76
Penguins vs. Blackhawksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$98.71
Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98.97
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Eisbaeren Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$88.93
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$99.46
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$161.19
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79.45
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$99
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$125.98
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$100.64
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$100.26
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$96.08
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$99.63
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$197.97
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$224.7
Wizards vs. Suns: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$192.16
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$198.92
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$99.42
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$103.01
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98.97
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$100.13
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$135.73
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$98.56
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$94.76
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$98.78
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$94.59
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$107.64
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$122.66
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$362.95
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$107.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$156.44
LoL: Team Phantasma vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.17
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$344.05
LoL: Deer Gaming vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25.2%+$101.15
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$166.1
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$108.68
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.5%+$100.17
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$384.93
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$127.66
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+64.3%+$102.73
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76.05
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$99.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick53cpaid+83.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$192.51
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$144.54
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Droguet (+1.5)backed Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$100.82
Ostrava Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anna Siskovabacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+76%+$101.38
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$100.13
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$206.98
Brisbane International, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Belluccibacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$100.93
Brisbane International, Qualification: Arthur Cazaux vs Martin Landalucebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$98.3
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Justin Engelbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$98.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+82%+$65.59
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$77.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$108.68
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$100.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$100.36
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$100.21
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$110.76
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Prison Breakers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$101
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$223.64
1H Spread: 49ers (-0.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$203.25
1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.23
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$98.38
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$174.02
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+126.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)backed California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$130.56
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$74.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$99.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$131.13
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$99.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.1%+$98.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.