NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed4a7cc73f6e7876e479a39706b3ed38b1da32df99453eb06b1064c9fb60171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Blackhawks | 43c | 147,275$63,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,328.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks | 42c | 105,946$44,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,497.46 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Blackhawks | 41c | 37,174$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,098.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Blackhawks | 2c | 28,262$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 58c | 25,585$14,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,754.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Penguins | 58c | 25,300$14,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,626 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Penguins | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Penguins | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 58c | 19,253$11,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.96 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Blackhawks | 0c | 18,149$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Penguins | 57c | 17,400$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,482 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 60c | 16,000$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 58c | 15,300$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks | 40c | 11,833$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.17 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 57c | 11,650$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 57c | 11,500$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Blackhawks | 2c | 11,389$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed Blackhawks | 20c | 10,711$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks | 1c | 10,331$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penguins | 58c | 10,065$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.43 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 58c | 8,524$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.08 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 57c | 8,232$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.26 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blackhawks | 1c | 6,482$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Penguins | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 59c | 5,004$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.53 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Penguins | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Penguins | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blackhawks | 2c | 4,900$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 1c | 4,255$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 59c | 4,121$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.61 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Penguins | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Penguins | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Penguins | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Penguins | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 3,000$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.09 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Blackhawks | 41c | 2,930$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,775$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 57c | 2,730$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Blackhawks | 40c | 2,595$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Blackhawks | 2c | 2,377$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Penguins | 58c | 2,190$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.66 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks | 15c | 2,103$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Penguins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Penguins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…f161backed Penguins | 59c | 1,959$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…4040backed Penguins | 59c | 1,690$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,655$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.89 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Blackhawks | 3c | 1,425$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,301$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…128bbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…9475backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…ae02backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,195$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…9595backed Penguins | 57c | 1,195$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…6a2dbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,190$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…1927backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…30c5backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,185$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…b3d7backed Penguins | 57c | 1,185$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…f493backed Penguins | 57c | 1,180$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…022cbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,180$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…fba8backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,175$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…ba07backed Penguins | 57c | 1,175$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…a9d0backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…6576backed Penguins | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…7785backed Penguins | 57c | 1,160$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…52a7backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…1e4abacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,155$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…9d0bbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,155$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ef…571ebacked Penguins | 57c | 1,155$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…c61bbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,155$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd86…e947backed Penguins | 57c | 1,155$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…c38fbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,155$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4570…dfacbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…449cbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…2d29backed Penguins | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…2891backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,145$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…2707backed Penguins | 57c | 1,145$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…1b99backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…9179backed Penguins | 57c | 1,135$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…b5ddbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…c00fbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,125$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…b62fbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,125$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4724backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…cf5bbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,120$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…1a5ebacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,120$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…03cfbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,115$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…4dc8backed Penguins | 57c | 1,115$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…265dbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…8861backed Penguins | 57c | 1,110$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…4ddfbacked Penguins | 57c | 1,110$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b0b1backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.