NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb15d13e998e2370e8dde27bfca317941dba23aac539cfef1b04c998c2f8bae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $633,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Under | 57c | 400,000$228,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,999.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 43c | 318,263$136,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,433.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 58c | 200,000$116,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 42c | 196,955$82,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,233.75 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 43c | 43,503$18,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,796.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 34,497$14,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,805.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 60c | 21,663$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 6,000$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 4,210$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 3,267$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 41c | 2,400$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,712$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.88 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.09 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 62c | 675$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 55c | 597.63$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 56c | 481.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Under | 58c | 474.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 57c | 352$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Over | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 58c | 254.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 42c | 240$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 47c | 213.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Over | 43c | 183.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 58c | 126.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 42c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 112.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 108$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 42c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 42c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 43c | 100.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…0803backed Over | 43c | 95.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 41c | 94.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 45c | 84.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 23c | 64.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 43c | 40.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 44c | 38.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 61c | 31.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 31.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 41c | 28.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 41c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Over | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. BlackhawksPenguins won
- Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.