TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0e3…9efe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
Bruins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.23
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.38
Devils vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.6%+$48.71
Jets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$47.46
Lightning vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$47.65
Wild vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.71
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$48.59
Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.9%+$37.24
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.2
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.96
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.19
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.13
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41.21
Capitals vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.42
Oilers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$31.84
Blue Jackets vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$31.44
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24.86
Penguins vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$24.87
Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.15
Maple Leafs vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40.01
Wild vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$23.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.66
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.36
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.83
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.11
Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$23.91
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$83.29
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS - Map 1 Winnerbacked CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+73.2%+$18.62
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$37
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.3%+$22.53
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+126.6%+$59.5
Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA (BO3)backed SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3)backed ex-GANK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$23.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$57.12
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted (BO5)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+99.3%+$51.7
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+233.3%+$69.99
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winnerbacked Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.06
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Most Wanted - Game 2 Winnerbacked Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.7
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+56%+$12.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$29.41
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$30.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.06
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.92
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$12.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$27.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$17.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.