TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Shadowkekof Team Shadowkek, Team magixx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7600…4478backed Team magixx35c8,273$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.0128248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Team Shadowkek68c6,820$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Team magixx3c3,197$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Team Shadowkek59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc24…c8c4backed Team magixx63c2,385$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.542850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Shadowkek41c2,333$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.3614441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983b…8a73backed Team magixx49c2,030$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…0bd8backed Team magixx49c2,025$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd434…7888backed Team magixx49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d9b…40f4backed Team magixx44c1,850$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Team magixx35c1,604$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.123545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ad…54ecbacked Team magixx49c1,550$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…17ddbacked Team Shadowkek56c1,410$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+120.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd45b…58f5backed Team Shadowkek73c1,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Team magixx29c1,205$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3535033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…d996backed Team Shadowkek51c1,050$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb047…7942backed Team magixx49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Team magixx6c842.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Team Shadowkek71c818.45$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.764942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…f02fbacked Team Shadowkek51c787$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68d…075cbacked Team Shadowkek51c763$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…5a45backed Team Shadowkek51c688$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee6…06c1backed Team Shadowkek51c685$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b27…ffb7backed Team Shadowkek51c682$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb1…e5babacked Team Shadowkek51c678$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e0…16b8backed Team Shadowkek51c677$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6d…1633backed Team Shadowkek51c675$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732e…6397backed Team Shadowkek51c667$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6390…44e6backed Team Shadowkek51c663$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8443…4f91backed Team Shadowkek51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Team Shadowkek26c593.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.553636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team magixx56c574.36$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team magixx68c544.94$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6522754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Team Shadowkek73c544.28$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team magixx38c463.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4526553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Team Shadowkek68c456.49$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…5199backed Team Shadowkek56c440$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c31…3cadbacked Team magixx44c415$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Team Shadowkek49c356$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.942846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Team magixx80c330$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.522242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Team Shadowkek63c317.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7522942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Team Shadowkek57c314.35$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9614951.7%77 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…9fd2backed Team magixx56c303.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Team magixx54c287.14$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9818543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553f…99b9backed Team magixx34c285.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf20f…78aabacked Team Shadowkek61c284.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+124.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…2bb3backed Team Shadowkek22c281$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+131%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5dc…f377backed Team Shadowkek35c276.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Team Shadowkek37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a0…d8dabacked Team magixx63c261.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Team Shadowkek59c255.93$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.933357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team magixx20c255.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.091,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Team Shadowkek55c254$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Team Shadowkek48c250.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+76.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778f…3363backed Team Shadowkek56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team magixx31c227.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9478348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Team magixx45c223.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791b…029ebacked Team magixx44c216.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Team Shadowkek37c209.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.174736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Team magixx48c207.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Team magixx56c205.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+68%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Team Shadowkek50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team magixx50c199.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…2d34backed Team magixx39c193.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Team magixx63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Team magixx58c171.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Shadowkek59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4913363.9%85 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Team Shadowkek59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd9…503abacked Team Shadowkek56c165$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Team magixx75c146.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Team Shadowkek28c140$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.156934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Shadowkek72c139.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4858149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…8052backed Team magixx51c136.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Team Shadowkek64c134.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team magixx64c130.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4614950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Team Shadowkek61c121.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.884434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbd…16d6backed Team magixx60c120.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.244427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0b35…01d0backed Team Shadowkek37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Shadowkek56c107.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.624038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Team magixx53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.822358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef7…82cebacked Team magixx47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Team magixx45c89.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Team magixx49c81.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7161…021bbacked Team magixx56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team magixx40c72.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Team magixx55c72.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa7…4a55backed Team Shadowkek79c71.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team magixx32c71.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1969863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Team Shadowkek70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…0256backed Team Shadowkek49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Team Shadowkek72c69.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.463243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Team Shadowkek71c69.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.464535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e10…6a89backed Team magixx73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7594…6c37backed Team Shadowkek50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce5…8e89backed Team Shadowkek59c65.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.142653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Team magixx28c65.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Team Shadowkek64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Team magixx37c60.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Team magixx43c58.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1112152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team Shadowkek41c57.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.735973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.