TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3228…b4e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST7037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.28
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$128.56
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs GamerLegion (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham: North America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rottweilas Latam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$364.44
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs GamerLegion - Game 3 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+98.4%+$195.95
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.3
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$45.95
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$104.3
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$139.46
Dota 2: Ivory vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.7%+$139.39
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.65
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+86%+$59.07
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+240.8%+$123.79
Dota 2: AVULUS vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$89.81
Dota 2: AVULUS vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$858.45
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36.2
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 2 Winnerbacked Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Dota 2: AVULUS vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$186.56
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted - Game 1 Winnerbacked Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.15
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST4736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.25
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$59.09
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140.07
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.21
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Charrados FC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Charrados FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Charrados FC (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Charrados FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62.26
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+45.7%+$94.05
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.43
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.5%+$147.31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$61.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 (BO3)backed 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$189.34
Counter-Strike: japczany vs 777 - Map 2 Winnerbacked japczany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.38
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+120.4%+$118.04
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.9%+$85.33
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$49.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.41
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+249.4%+$74.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.55
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100.2%+$50.05
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.9%+$11.65
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Burgos CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+114.9%+$69.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.7%+$21.05
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.34
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42
1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+90.5%+$80.35
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will NEC vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)backed PEC Zwolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed SBV Excelsior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.8%+$22.16
PSV vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32
AZ vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.6%+$95.89
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+55.5%+$134.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+52.7%+$69
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22
BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.24
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$93.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$171.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Camila Osorio vs Petra Marcinkobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.