Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21476e257799215ce22044df2ea108ef809040a2118cd0c664ac15fc5ae02b06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 18,717$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.91 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed MOUZ | 57c | 15,462$8,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.58 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ | 70c | 10,451$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.62 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 49c | 10,077$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.56 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 8,257$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ | 54c | 8,192$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 7,718$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 78c | 6,194$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.93 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 5,251$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ | 58c | 5,190$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.5 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 4,446$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed MOUZ | 74c | 4,321$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 57c | 4,194$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.32 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,859$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,816$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,580$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.64 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,006$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.71 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 3,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,884$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.36 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,795$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,738$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 60c | 2,549$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.32 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,503$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,473$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.93 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,851$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.47 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,793$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.45 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,561$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,550$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,538$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.17 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,488$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,439$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.68 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,359$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,347$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.63 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,288$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,246$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,191$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,165$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.67 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,165$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,126$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,104$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.82 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,098$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.96 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,050$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,033$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,027$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.79 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,003$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.51 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 993.61$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 956.61$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 947.27$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed MOUZ | 60c | 848.6$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 53c | 847.83$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed MOUZ | 71c | 842.32$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 77c | 840.89$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed MOUZ | 61c | 813.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.94 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MOUZ | 53c | 809.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 782.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 757.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed MOUZ | 70c | 753.17$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 68c | 706.87$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.07 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 685$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.51 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 673.06$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed MOUZ | 57c | 665$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed MOUZ | 54c | 655.56$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 651.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 641.59$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked MOUZ | 69c | 637.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MOUZ | 71c | 581$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 574.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 568.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked MOUZ | 57c | 527.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed MOUZ | 59c | 518.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 484.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 478.41$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…26c5backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 477.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed MOUZ | 53c | 475.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 472.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 472.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed MOUZ | 72c | 463.63$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 449.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 449.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 423.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 77c | 422.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 418.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 405$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 402.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked MOUZ | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 394.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Series: Most kills?MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.