TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f7c…5a30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
403
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT28942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 289 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+341.5%+$536.23
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$828.35
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$69.86
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$1,314.9
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$108.32
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$124.08
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.82
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$174.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$360.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$206.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$158.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$90.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$113.03
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$252.12
Showing 25 of 289 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT9544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.3
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.91
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$182.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.94
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$252.84
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$107.85
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$210.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$71.29
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.62
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$65.34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$234.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$373.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$294.42
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$15.01
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.86
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.5%+$154
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.5%+$42.3
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.49
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.9
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21.6
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.27
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.