NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6096d02443157a5669567306d63a7efed6ef3f9befe4289030f519449a9ba578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Magic, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,040,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,058,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,040,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Magic | 33c | 279,945$93,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,512.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…3182backed Magic | 0c | 177,380$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 66c | 114,906$75,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,067.88 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 67c | 111,698$74,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,860.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.84 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 22c | 98,076$21,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,610.61 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic | 34c | 97,849$33,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,574.08 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Magic | 38c | 97,433$37,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,065 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 59c | 75,283$44,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,871.94 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 67c | 70,584$47,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,292.68 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 67c | 64,000$42,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,120 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 67c | 60,442$40,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,197.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 32c | 59,843$19,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,032.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Warriors | 66c | 57,113$37,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,557.96 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 66c | 43,225$28,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,640.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 36c | 35,072$12,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,702.63 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Magic | 34c | 29,668$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 35c | 28,963$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 66c | 28,200$18,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.44 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 26,588$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Warriors | 79c | 24,150$19,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.53 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Magic | 4c | 22,680$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.17 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 64c | 20,670$13,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 64c | 20,667$13,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 63c | 20,000$12,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,391.46 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 67c | 19,503$12,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.76 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Magic | 40c | 17,535$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.03 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 39c | 17,228$6,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Magic | 34c | 15,851$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.28 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Magic | 34c | 12,666$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Magic | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 55c | 11,885$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 30c | 10,888$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.6 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 66c | 10,821$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 66c | 10,700$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 10c | 10,315$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.09 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Warriors | 66c | 10,039$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Magic | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Magic | 34c | 9,897$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 64c | 9,892$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…6cccbacked Magic | 33c | 9,511$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 64c | 9,470$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 19c | 8,709$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.57 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 66c | 8,685$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.8 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Warriors | 67c | 8,587$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.17 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Magic | 41c | 8,532$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 61c | 8,341$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.73 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 65c | 8,337$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.43 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 68c | 8,118$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic | 34c | 8,001$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.34 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Warriors | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Warriors | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Warriors | 78c | 7,370$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.17 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Magic | 37c | 7,362$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Magic | 31c | 7,000$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.01 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 34c | 6,807$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Warriors | 65c | 6,662$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.9 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Magic | 34c | 6,368$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked Magic | 34c | 6,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Warriors | 60c | 5,944$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.78 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Warriors | 66c | 5,936$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.32 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Magic | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Warriors | 65c | 5,690$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.47 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 66c | 5,593$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.36 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Magic | 37c | 5,372$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Warriors | 67c | 5,227$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.01 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Magic | 14c | 5,189$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.94 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 1c | 5,124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Magic | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Magic | 16c | 5,000$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Magic | 37c | 4,812$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Warriors | 65c | 4,606$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.31 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…8812backed Magic | 34c | 4,194$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 62c | 4,152$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.67 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 34c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03e…9771backed Warriors | 63c | 3,541$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Magic | 14c | 3,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…9758backed Magic | 37c | 3,441$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Magic | 48c | 3,333$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Magic | 5c | 3,185$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Warriors | 61c | 3,117$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.14 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Magic | 35c | 3,115$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic | 33c | 3,100$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Magic | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Magic | 28c | 3,005$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.48 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Magic | 28c | 3,003$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.85 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…10d3backed Warriors | 66c | 3,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Warriors | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Warriors | 72c | 2,957$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Warriors | 72c | 2,903$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.63 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Magic | 1c | 2,900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Warriors | 65c | 2,860$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Magic | 43c | 2,753$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.28 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 64c | 2,701$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.21 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Warriors | 58c | 2,600$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Magic | 25c | 2,599$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 61c | 2,550$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…3268backed Warriors | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.