NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498cba3422f3be7e9497af465b5e62c4dc608ae919a9171a873ae0300c93ca69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 54c | 31,371$16,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,419.46 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Magic | 46c | 28,709$13,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,204.17 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 45c | 10,574$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.17 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 54c | 8,593$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.98 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 7,242$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…a66dbacked Magic | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 45c | 5,190$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.48 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 52c | 4,147$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.06 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 3,680$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 55c | 2,812$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 51c | 2,583$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…d253backed Magic | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 54c | 1,608$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Magic | 52c | 1,200$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.74 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Warriors | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Magic | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Warriors | 55c | 891.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.13 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 49c | 784$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Magic | 45c | 621$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 43c | 544.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Warriors | 57c | 544.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 44c | 399.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic | 46c | 345.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Magic | 54c | 277.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…2731backed Warriors | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Warriors | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Magic | 45c | 248$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Magic | 46c | 244.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Magic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Warriors | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Magic | 46c | 208$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 52c | 178.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 19c | 158$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 60c | 143.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Magic | 44c | 143$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Magic | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Magic | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 31c | 122.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Magic | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…ceb6backed Magic | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Magic | 44c | 112.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Magic | 17c | 109.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Magic | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Magic | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Magic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Magic | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Magic | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Magic | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Magic | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Magic | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 83.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Magic | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Magic | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Magic | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Magic | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 45c | 71.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Warriors | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Warriors | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Magic | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Magic | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Magic | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Warriors | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Warriors | 54c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Warriors | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Warriors | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Magic | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Warriors | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 45c | 47.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Warriors | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Warriors | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Warriors | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Warriors | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Warriors | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…becabacked Warriors | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Warriors | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Warriors | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Warriors | 54c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Warriors | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Warriors | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Warriors | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Warriors | 57c | 35.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Warriors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Warriors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Warriors | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Warriors | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Warriors | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Warriors | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Warriors | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Magic | 47c | 31.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Warriors | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Magic | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.