NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a29e054cd9255201e660ae9b67a0a108fb7e40b14f79bb46eec58a99490dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Warriors | 51c | 210,880$107,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,441.23 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 48c | 90,085$43,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,240.93 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 52c | 78,133$40,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,573.2 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 48c | 42,617$20,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,333.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Magic | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 47c | 18,276$8,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,589.75 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…6c62backed Magic | 50c | 18,268$9,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 14,427$6,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 53c | 10,797$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.82 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 48c | 10,297$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.56 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…bc45backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…50f7backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…0da3backed Magic | 50c | 9,998$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…2ab3backed Magic | 50c | 9,994$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 47c | 9,333$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…f2dfbacked Magic | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 48c | 6,041$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.68 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Magic | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Magic | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Warriors | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…0c2cbacked Magic | 50c | 4,245$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Magic | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 48c | 2,677$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 53c | 2,584$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.46 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…d253backed Magic | 50c | 2,390$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Magic | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 48c | 2,037$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…4666backed Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Magic | 5c | 1,846$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 1,807$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 52c | 1,740$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Magic | 48c | 1,683$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,379$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…b6dfbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,365$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Magic | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…622fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.65 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Magic | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 50c | 916.67$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Magic | 48c | 834$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.32 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Magic | 48c | 826$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Magic | 48c | 816.96$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.18 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Warriors | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Magic | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Magic | 48c | 772.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Warriors | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Magic | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Warriors | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Magic | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Magic | 47c | 596.4$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 48c | 557.52$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 47c | 499.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Magic | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Magic | 48c | 464.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 48c | 447.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 48c | 386.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Magic | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Warriors | 40c | 299$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Magic | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 49c | 240$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Magic | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…9f79backed Warriors | 53c | 233.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Magic | 50c | 222.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Magic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Warriors | 52c | 207.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Warriors | 51c | 206.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Magic | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Warriors | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Magic | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…39b1backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…cf9dbacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 48c | 194.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Magic | 49c | 185$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Magic | 49c | 180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Magic | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…c75abacked Magic | 49c | 155.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.