TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x426f…e76b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Commodities, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 51 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT17644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.96
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.84
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.32
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.8
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.84
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.88
Spread: Thunder (-22.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.84
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.04
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$225.2
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.96
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.04
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$233.25
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.96
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.28
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.84
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.04
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.28
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$233.2
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$233.19
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.96
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.04
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$224.72
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.66
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Kai Havertz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.02
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.91
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.89
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$72.91
Will England go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Spain be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Norway finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will the announcers say "Header" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.02
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.56
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.15
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$227.38
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$717.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.