Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46646b6127dc1ead00a1fe2916929aedd2ccec29d507e35eb128ff8d93e1cb70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 50c | 14,323$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.14 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 52c | 8,994$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.68 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 59c | 6,266$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.63 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 59c | 2,555$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.67 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,701$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.11 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 61c | 1,649$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.66 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 53c | 1,644$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.96 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…fa11backed Yes | 41c | 1,321$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.66 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 1,306$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 34c | 1,188$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.45 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 52c | 1,185$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.96 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 51c | 1,117$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 48c | 1,052$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.46 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed No | 45c | 998.73$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 52c | 979.79$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.26 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 36c | 955$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.75 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 61c | 954.72$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.38 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 48c | 951.54$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 46c | 872.87$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 63c | 858.87$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.09 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 59c | 858.42$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…7597backed No | 2c | 733.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +370.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 47c | 714.55$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.19 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 56c | 650.22$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.28 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…cd3ebacked Yes | 45c | 648.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 40c | 629.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.47 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…596dbacked Yes | 53c | 625.85$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 37c | 619.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 55c | 549.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.67 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 58c | 526.02$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 73c | 514.2$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…9591backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 136 | 20.6%28 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…e828backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 47c | 497.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 48c | 475$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 39c | 415$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 402.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.15 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 41c | 399.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 52c | 392.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 48c | 388.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 51c | 375$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 32c | 373.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 37c | 365.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes | 57c | 351.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 348.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…7344backed Yes | 58c | 346.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 65c | 334.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 329.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 31c | 309.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…06aebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 47c | 274.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…573abacked No | 64c | 273$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b2…8594backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 263.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…c699backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…f73cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 55c | 255.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Yes | 45c | 249.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 51c | 249.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 53c | 246$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 236.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…5546backed No | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 54c | 229.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Yes | 68c | 229.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 74c | 219.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Yes | 46c | 217.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 216.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 35c | 204.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed Yes | 59c | 203.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes | 47c | 199$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 48c | 198.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…acf6backed No | 47c | 195.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 37c | 194.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed Yes | 52c | 192.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…303abacked Yes | 53c | 188.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…9842backed Yes | 40c | 175.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 47c | 174.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 56c | 173.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 53c | 172.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 49c | 171.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed Yes | 26c | 165.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Yes | 41c | 165.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 29c | 163.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…5278backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.