TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x38e5…95e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,395
Categories scored
47
Categories below 50
31

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT22834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$89.26
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+433.6%+$66.63
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$6.69
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,954.83
Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+5,489.9%+$1,597.87
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.18
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,060%+$3,720.09
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.22
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.6
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,005.17
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.48
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.82
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.69
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.7
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT21033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$162.72
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.6
Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.05
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$81.65
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.94
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.52
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$43.39
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$175.02
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.46
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.74
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.09
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.01
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$971.68
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$26.09
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.95
Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.27
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.45
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT15026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$126.46
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+82%+$75.8
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.89
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,276.43
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,589Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$7,696.56
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.8
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.07
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.1
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,774.63
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.71
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,069.05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$2,401.05
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.78
Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.79
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.87
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.07
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.68
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+903.2%+$1,886.22
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+562.5%+$4,155.32
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$21.71
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.07
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13040%52 W · 78 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$403.03
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$43.42
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$327.8
Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.2
Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.28
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.57
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.57
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.38
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$767.35
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.34
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.01
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.39
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$23.29
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$710.02
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$145.27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$342.05
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.82
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$455.54
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.99
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST8036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$468.06
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+41.2%+$342.02
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$475.85
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+109.4%+$6,981.1
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$2,631.23
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.68
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$291.62
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.9
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.55
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82%+$3,055.39
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$317.76
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.8%+$7.31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.12
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.7
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256.14
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.14
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.8%+$86.75
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.53
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350.1
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$271.47
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.83
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.6%+$452.03
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT7611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.35
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.98
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,745.33
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.71
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.61
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.63
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.27
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.69
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,987Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+265.5%+$5,275.32
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$223.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$267.06
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,894.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,313.34
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,154.34
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$184.49
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$559.82
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.05
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST5022%11 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$83.03
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+956.9%+$117.7
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.91
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$123.4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.7%+$343.63
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65%+$791.5
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$696.27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$372.03
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$137.58
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.24
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$277.23
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$174.78
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$665.62
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+201.1%+$8,282.98
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.47
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,793.4
Will the US add more than 200k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.32
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.07
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5034%17 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.8%+$1,794.77
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$595.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+135.5%+$802.05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,750.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,727.78
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,727.6
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$760.04
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.91
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.57
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$403.76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+461%+$18,780.23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,691.9%+$860.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+245.2%+$11,528.89
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+627.2%+$982.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.3%+$13,011.32
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,968.6
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$55.74
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,877.04
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$976.99
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+129.4%+$14,689.03
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$637.53
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+167.3%+$36,886.52
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,833Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.6%+$6,753.52
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.68
Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$27.88
Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+285.4%+$98.49
Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$62.84
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.65
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.13
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+171.8%+$422.25
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.48
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$145.38
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32%+$607.33
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105.2%+$650.72
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,043.94
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.42
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+52.6%+$80.52
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$723.61
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.85
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,176.01
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.72
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$169.82
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have exactly 3 songs in the Billboard top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.09
Will Drake have exactly 2 songs in the Billboard top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.2
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56%+$1,260.19
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.9
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.91
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$113.79
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$52.21
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.48
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$54.68
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.94
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.43
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$320.34
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.09
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.68
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.54
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.87
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.3%+$16.77
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$450.31
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+180.4%+$39.24
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.47
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$82.29
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$159.54
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.78
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$209.83
Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.4%+$15.62
Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.83
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.38
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+89.5%+$21.26
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.56
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+273.2%+$533.68
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.4%+$21.76
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+36.1%+$5.57
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,333.87
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.22
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$138.76
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,476.49
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29%+$135.62
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Darryn Peterson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.34
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,299.98
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$128.15
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$1,692.56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+328.1%+$2,618.9
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,000
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$10,530.35
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,928.88
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$81.63
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$117.94
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$112.46
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46,166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$13,603.61
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$909.3
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$70.68
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.75
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$77.06
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.83
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$134.75
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.69
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.17
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$1,137.5
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$8,037.01
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+201.6%+$932.45
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$520.49
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$41.27
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.47
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.92
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.87
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$813.1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.47
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.08
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+744.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+3,108.2%+$824.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+8,058.1%+$51,126.71
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+448.4%+$24,038.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29,958Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+109.1%+$32,696.56
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.2%+$27.16
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.98
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+148.2%+$686.67
Will Netanyahu say "Abraham Accord" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.58
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.61
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$7.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.32
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$331.8
Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.74
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.32
Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$383.85
Will Aaron Rai win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.27
Will Sungjae Im win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.95
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.76
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$578.29
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.61
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.62
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.1
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.62
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-76.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+230.9%+$1,977.56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.04
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.58
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$115.93
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$282.41
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$238.18
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.77
Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$85.08
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$284.19
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.25
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,156.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$232.58
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,048.13
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+111.1%+$141.05
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53.2
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$269.32
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.73
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$705.48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.77
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.92
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.64
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$88.76
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$749.93
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$336.99
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.42
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.2%+$391.23
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$244
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.75
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.22
Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $WIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$338.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.56
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+200.6%+$451.77
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.18
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$128.04
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.3
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.42
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$69.3
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirezbacked Zurdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.58
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatanibacked Nakatani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.64
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$105.18
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,624Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+95.3%+$3,452.34
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.7%+$14,440.22
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.7%+$11,583.27
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+105.6%+$14,179.68
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,328.74
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,308.57
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$167.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$204.85
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$536.63
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,455.94
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.41
Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150.4%+$92.51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.12
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.99
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.16
Trump x Putin talk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.03
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,449.59
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+247.8%+$1,595.18
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$127.19
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$340.84
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,150.89
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.27
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.88
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.1
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,162.12
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144.83
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$431.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$1,274.72
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$56.14
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$1,717.72
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$877.2
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,892Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,513.62
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,652Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47%+$1,245.61
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+266%+$569.05
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$657.66
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+134.8%+$145.27
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30%+$283.9
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.4
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+145.9%+$1,329.57
Will Dante Moore win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Minnesota vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.66
Ole Miss vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.04
Jerry Rice Team vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,268.07
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.41
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,900
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$4,000
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8,699.94
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,399.98
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$246.61
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,292.96
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.56
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+367.8%+$1,474.98
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.2%+$90.16
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$93.68
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+45.4%+$70.85
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.09
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$305.36
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,820.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.71
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$279.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$39.58
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$287.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napheesa Collier win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2025 WNBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$608.4
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$676.57
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,658.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+102.2%+$62.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Discord IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$26.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.