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EventUs Midterms

PA-01 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 8 wallets, $1,232 · No: 12 wallets, $1,785 12 of 20 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$11137c-$11162
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1310c-$13.4555
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2060c-$20.3954
0x6b25…7a69#2,151 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$58061c-$579.553
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6263c-$61.7452
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$20244c-$201.5251
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2847c+$31.6949
Top 51 to 200
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1738c+$28.4562
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$21962c-$219.0558
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2948c+$31.9355
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2516c-$24.9855
0x67a8…7493#2,023 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1468c+$6.453
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4949c+$5152
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4141c+$58.0852
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$5242c+$72.9651
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$21253c+$188.2751
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$11152c+$103.7150
0xae2a…384d#8,221 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$15540c+$231.7350
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$48347c+$534.7649
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$59346c+$705.4148

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 5 wallets, $2,178 · No: 12 wallets, $2,077 5 of 17 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf26c…d5c5#4 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1938c+$3170
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2935c+$54.263
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$7437c-$73.9962
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2844c-$28.1955
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2046c+$23.5649
Top 51 to 200
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2039c+$30.7262
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,09135c+$3,903.0758
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$15360c-$152.9355
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2520c-$24.9855
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5051c-$50.1552
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$5758c-$56.7652
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$6152c-$60.7751
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$18646c-$186.0851
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$10348c-$102.8150
0xae2a…384d#8,221 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$8558c-$84.850
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$56253c-$562.149
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$69453c-$693.6448
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.