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EventUs Midterms

TX-23 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $480 · No: 19 wallets, $10,022 19 of 24 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf26c…d5c5#4 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$36136c+$638.4770
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1337c+$21.4868
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$9045c+$11062
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$34761c-$346.6861
0x30f6…004f#218 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6158c+$43.1959
0x671a…2f1e#669 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8977c+$26.4455
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,14474c+$392.155
0x03e1…e180#1,050 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2039c+$30.554
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$5451c-$54.2851
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4642c+$63.5549
0x0518…5da2#11,808 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1169c-$10.9649
Top 51 to 200
0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3634c+$70.1668
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4447c+$50.1962
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13846c+$161.9958
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3431c+$73.8155
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$21037c+$36352
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$6144c+$77.4451
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$58045c+$696.2551
0xf528…7e5bNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$1775c-$16.5851
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$81445c+$1,000.4250
0x1ef0…e28e#9,588 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5162c-$51.4949
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$34546c+$411.8349
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,01267c+$1,491.2848
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2,92560c+$1,927.5343

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 7 wallets, $4,232 · No: 11 wallets, $4,302 7 of 18 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf26c…d5c5#4 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$46941c+$685.7570
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1327c+$34.2765
0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,38953c+$1,256.2263
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$21533c+$441.3662
0x671a…2f1e#669 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2219c-$2255
0x03e1…e180#1,050 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3059c-$29.554
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$6057c-$60.3351
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1440c+$20.6649
Top 51 to 200
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$13846c+$16258
0x915d…5c6a#363 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3853c-$3857
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$24763c-$247.4355
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$35762c-$357.2752
0x9d0d…2e6d#4,766 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$69354c-$692.7251
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$98254c-$982.2750
0x1ef0…e28e#9,588 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3264c-$3249
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$43455c-$433.7449
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,40731c-$1,406.8948
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,99469c+$888.4343
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.