TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb97…eee8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
362
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT18460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$869
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+328.4%+$6,286.09
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.17
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.19
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.77
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,439
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$679.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,701.5
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+119%+$461.81
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$385.55
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$166.88
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+180.7%+$257.48
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$103.44
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$121.05
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.43
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$470.73
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$529.01
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$96.34
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$53.6
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$773.76
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$158.82
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$23.46
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$274.5
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.27
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$136.3
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Will 4 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,532.79
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.4
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$935.68
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+488.1%+$385.92
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nurullo Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.7
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.85
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Magomed Tuchalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$11.82
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46%+$94.5
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$98.23
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.83
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.82
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.14
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Murtazali Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+531.4%+$672.32
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$576.54
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+320.9%+$762.4
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.16
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.69
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.68
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.03
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$93.75
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+48%+$81.09
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$53.98
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$321.64
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$546.29
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$208.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Boxing — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,115.53
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+758.3%+$13,254.79
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+141.5%+$8,777.59
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+119.6%+$5,174.07
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.2%+$2,864.69
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,689Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,323.48
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,270.9
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$958.12
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+218.4%+$1,920.71
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$339.8
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,434Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+36.4%+$3,066.46
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$112.66
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+120.8%+$5,478.99
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,412.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$25.05
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$130.25
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+161.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-71.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$517.62
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.