UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1667fa9ac8d56f6324454b09a4ab5ddf139ee6a926a683ee14f3ab6b3921cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magomed Tuchalovof Brendson Ribeiro, Magomed Tuchalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 185,383$22,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,245.98 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 149,948$19,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,493.28 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 29c | 65,612$18,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,847.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 73c | 36,143$26,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.91 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Brendson Ribeiro | 40c | 11,824$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.35 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Magomed Tuchalov | 72c | 10,629$7,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.46 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Brendson Ribeiro | 43c | 6,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magomed Tuchalov | 74c | 5,473$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.45 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Brendson Ribeiro | 25c | 4,673$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.16 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 27c | 4,076$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.11 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Brendson Ribeiro | 34c | 3,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Magomed Tuchalov | 63c | 2,928$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Brendson Ribeiro | 28c | 2,855$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Magomed Tuchalov | 73c | 2,822$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.96 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 9c | 2,816$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Brendson Ribeiro | 29c | 2,386$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.88 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Magomed Tuchalov | 52c | 1,908$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.92 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Magomed Tuchalov | 66c | 1,675$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.18 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Brendson Ribeiro | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 35c | 1,451$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.53 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 1,238$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Brendson Ribeiro | 20c | 1,139$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magomed Tuchalov | 54c | 1,026$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Magomed Tuchalov | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Magomed Tuchalov | 29c | 900$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 1c | 878.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Brendson Ribeiro | 25c | 873.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Brendson Ribeiro | 48c | 872$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Magomed Tuchalov | 78c | 800$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brendson Ribeiro | 25c | 779.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Magomed Tuchalov | 72c | 660.06$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 657.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Brendson Ribeiro | 38c | 613.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Brendson Ribeiro | 33c | 595.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Brendson Ribeiro | 34c | 572.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Brendson Ribeiro | 32c | 530.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 490$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Magomed Tuchalov | 67c | 483$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Brendson Ribeiro | 6c | 465$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 59c | 464.41$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…314cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 458.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Brendson Ribeiro | 25c | 428.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Brendson Ribeiro | 19c | 418.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Brendson Ribeiro | 15c | 413.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Brendson Ribeiro | 30c | 412.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Brendson Ribeiro | 26c | 406.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Magomed Tuchalov | 77c | 392.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brendson Ribeiro | 15c | 372.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 369.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 28c | 359.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 19c | 358.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 23c | 328.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Brendson Ribeiro | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Magomed Tuchalov | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 298.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Magomed Tuchalov | 58c | 285.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…3295backed Brendson Ribeiro | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a2…203cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 26c | 270.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…2065backed Brendson Ribeiro | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Magomed Tuchalov | 71c | 260.87$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Brendson Ribeiro | 39c | 256.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…3c36backed Brendson Ribeiro | 14c | 256.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed Brendson Ribeiro | 22c | 233.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 44c | 229.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Brendson Ribeiro | 55c | 227.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Magomed Tuchalov | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324e…8793backed Brendson Ribeiro | 14c | 214.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…17dcbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 25c | 206.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Brendson Ribeiro | 30c | 198.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 64c | 193.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Magomed Tuchalov | 63c | 189.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Brendson Ribeiro | 32c | 189.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Brendson Ribeiro | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Brendson Ribeiro | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 73c | 177.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Magomed Tuchalov | 80c | 156.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…92dbbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Brendson Ribeiro | 19c | 139.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Brendson Ribeiro | 40c | 138.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 137.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 135.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Brendson Ribeiro | 12c | 118.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…140dbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 64c | 116.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Brendson Ribeiro | 40c | 107.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Brendson Ribeiro | 60c | 103.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Magomed Tuchalov | 80c | 103.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Brendson Ribeiro | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Brendson Ribeiro | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Magomed Tuchalov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.