TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9083…d27b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT15139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$152.86
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$30.66
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.5
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Jeisla Chaves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$14.34
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$55.97
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed José Montanha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$105.06
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elisha Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Julius Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jefferson Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$191.94
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$31.29
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+65%+$32.51
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: RED vs SRbacked SR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+45.5%+$366.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$58.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.