UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236d7be30db86a3025d47fb3b6943b0d0aff7e6ff1af25978f288f508f275c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uroš Medicof Daniel Rodriguez, Uroš Medic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 85,554$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,199.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 47,131$11,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,118.92 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 39,605$30,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 35,243$26,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,713.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 22,723$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.17 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 15,795$12,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…7456backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 13,236$10,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 12,974$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 11,134$8,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.88 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 10,776$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.48 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 10,259$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.21 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 9,462$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Daniel Rodriguez | 25c | 8,466$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.97 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 6,555$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 6,000$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 26c | 5,927$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Uroš Medic | 75c | 5,235$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Daniel Rodriguez | 2c | 4,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Uroš Medic | 75c | 4,511$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.95 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Uroš Medic | 76c | 3,889$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 3,587$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 25c | 3,496$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.02 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 3,476$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 3,316$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.25 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 2,761$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…91bdbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 2,467$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 2,222$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…fef5backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…4322backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 1,973$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Daniel Rodriguez | 26c | 1,927$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Daniel Rodriguez | 12c | 1,821$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniel Rodriguez | 17c | 1,732$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.25 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Daniel Rodriguez | 1c | 1,628$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Uroš Medic | 76c | 1,587$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 1,579$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,530$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,525$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.88 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,462$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…0c0fbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,348$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…757dbacked Uroš Medic | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…4ad4backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 1,237$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Uroš Medic | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Daniel Rodriguez | 13c | 1,158$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Daniel Rodriguez | 16c | 1,142$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 1,059$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 1,025$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Uroš Medic | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…00efbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 999.99$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 985.71$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.71 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 938.91$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 913.99$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 890.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Daniel Rodriguez | 26c | 886.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.57 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 801.75$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Daniel Rodriguez | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…5678backed Daniel Rodriguez | 25c | 776.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…752cbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 702.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Daniel Rodriguez | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 700$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Uroš Medic | 77c | 694.53$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Uroš Medic | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Daniel Rodriguez | 6c | 619$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 603.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Daniel Rodriguez | 20c | 513$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Uroš Medic | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Uroš Medic | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Uroš Medic | 80c | 498.28$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…11f5backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 488.6$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8303…4134backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 467.68$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…2065backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…42f6backed Daniel Rodriguez | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 432.47$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Uroš Medic | 74c | 403.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Daniel Rodriguez | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Uroš Medic | 75c | 399.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 393.59$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…9483backed Uroš Medic | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Uroš Medic | 76c | 387.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Uroš Medic | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…881dbacked Uroš Medic | 78c | 373.59$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Daniel Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Uroš Medic win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.