TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dd6…f5f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
812
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT53956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 539 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$856.89
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$813.69
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,269.84
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Stan Dorsainvil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$1,215.28
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$2,933.49
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Namo Fazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.83
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Cristian Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$325.1
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,828.77
Will Jalin Turner win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$1,754.37
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$509.19
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,392.2
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,261Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$2,571.04
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,666Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$733.99
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,096.63
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed José Montanha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$2,281.68
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Gigi Canuto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.74
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$172
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$212
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Gilbert Urbina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$955.72
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,646Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+98%+$4,554.22
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$1,066.5
Showing 25 of 539 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 9: Hackett vs. Derevyanchenko (Middleweight, Main)backed Derevyanchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Zuffa Boxing 9: Wallin vs. Sirenko (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Wallin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prengabacked Prenga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.56
Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Billam-Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$109.1
Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$463.76
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Ray J · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.99
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatanibacked Nakatani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.32
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$247.99
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Lopez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+39.5%+$226.67
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the fight end in the Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Jake Paul win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.28
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.04
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.28
Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104
Tenshin Nasukawa vs Takuma Inoue Nov 24, 2025backed Inoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.3%+$105.07
Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025backed Haney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,831Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+76.8%+$3,710.14
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+91.7%+$326
Matchroom Boxing: Allen vs Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$95.37
Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$628
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$366.85
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$959
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,571.5
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$1,730.03
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,639.57
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$1,260.5
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,934Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$3,284.04
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.7%+$1,807.28
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$726
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,719.99
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$908
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$82.2
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11,020.5
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$284
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$145.6
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$60
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,932.99
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$760.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5,617.22
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$1,011.48
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$1,645
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,889.96
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.25
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$749.25
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.99
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+791.1%+$1,597.98
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11,048.08
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.05
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$160
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+154%+$1,716.52
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$162.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$475
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,890.58
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.48
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.85
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,243.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,484.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$10,216.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,967Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$1,032.99
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,791.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+34.3%+$460
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$849.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+70.9%+$3,776.04
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+369.9%+$1,810.55
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,047Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2,553.19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28%+$1,323.47
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$120
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$53
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$2,139.76
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,189.17
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$465
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$269.51
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$1,056.38
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,306.99
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$819.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$729.3
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$940.57
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,910Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.2%+$1,629.79
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$406
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.9%+$917.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,522Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$1,167.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$362.04
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.77
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$267.44
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$105.78
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$193.63
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.33
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$196.3
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+30.2%+$24.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,644.57
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$130.67
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.54
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$604
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,079.96
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,635Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$1,471.72
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$353
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.82
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$150
RFK's daughter-in-law picked as CIA deputy director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$313.99
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,185.33
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+64.7%+$129.59
Trump sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
Will Solana reach $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,445
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$144.58
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$585.9
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$194
Will Solana dip to $170 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.75
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$114.03
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Solana dip to $130 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$80
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,975.06
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.99
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$174
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$240
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$391
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$959.11
Will the US sanction Russia before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+51.4%+$30.54
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.18
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.33
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$84.4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28%+$1,814.99
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+40.2%+$273.18
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$31
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$88.75
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$226.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$551.99
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$684.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$272
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,234.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$478.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$222.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.