Middle East · resolved market

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634dd624627e8d8a1f095f4b5c05353fee8738fd9f5e4bd0926e32f811bd691a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $619,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $560,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x696f…d8b9backed Yes	2c	41,576$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.64	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	12c	17,765$2,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,111.36	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	17,040$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	507	1.4%7 W · 500 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	12c	13,207$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.72	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	5c	12,544$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.38	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	10c	9,267$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905	170	18.2%31 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…7b53backed Yes	33c	8,133$2,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,687	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes	3c	8,065$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.1	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x776f…e259backed Yes	5c	6,595$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes	6c	6,090$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…0a88backed Yes	7c	5,741$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x728e…713bbacked Yes	18c	5,617$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ede…57c0backed Yes	5c	5,500$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a6…22b2backed Yes	15c	5,140$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.34	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+4.9wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	4,599$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.54	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a2…293bbacked Yes	11c	4,550$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.4	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36f…e80ebacked Yes	5c	4,391$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes	9c	4,184$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.99	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+76.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46b…7c17backed Yes	11c	3,884$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	2c	3,750$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	358	8.7%31 W · 327 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+99.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f05…e619backed Yes	8c	3,689$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…67e3backed Yes	2c	3,600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	7c	3,472$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.53	77	9.1%7 W · 70 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,340$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.46	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b33…9a34backed Yes	4c	3,235$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	7c	3,221$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.33	442	24.4%108 W · 334 L	+22.2wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718e…3ef9backed Yes	11c	3,210$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.15	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…8b68backed Yes	6c	3,094$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.43	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ae…9848backed Yes	6c	3,064$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7efb…c577backed Yes	2c	3,046$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	291	29.9%87 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed No	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	353	47%166 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…125dbacked Yes	10c	2,989$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…26aebacked Yes	3c	2,988$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes	3c	2,954$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	2,906$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.81	476	9.9%47 W · 429 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+75.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	6c	2,720$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked No	51c	2,716$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.57	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a0…c047backed Yes	10c	2,700$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	6c	2,653$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.38	492	8.7%43 W · 449 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,640$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.25	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes	12c	2,484$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+215.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5531…c763backed Yes	11c	2,378$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.75	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…0519backed Yes	3c	2,300$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	47c	2,215$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a9…2f47backed Yes	13c	2,200$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	4c	2,142$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	371	7%26 W · 345 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Yes	1c	2,141$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	132	28%37 W · 95 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes	1c	2,134$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	139	18.7%26 W · 113 L	-13.9wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x041b…de53backed Yes	12c	2,011$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.38	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	4.9%2 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Yes	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf06…4799backed Yes	4c	1,991$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Yes	6c	1,984$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.84	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-5.2wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-53%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5000…d02cbacked Yes	5c	1,980$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…5b05backed Yes	11c	1,950$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…9b75backed Yes	15c	1,940$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.87	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6960…cf2fbacked Yes	2c	1,907$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2035…f33ebacked Yes	3c	1,896$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bb…2949backed Yes	8c	1,746$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8f8…8a6fbacked No	64c	1,607$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.51	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f31…7f8ebacked Yes	10c	1,536$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes	4c	1,530$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…4c94backed Yes	18c	1,495$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdab…137ebacked Yes	16c	1,471$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.67	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…6320backed Yes	3c	1,400$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.3	104	17.3%18 W · 86 L	-13.7wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x65fb…92cabacked Yes	14c	1,396$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.16	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	77c	1,209$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.14	270	47.8%129 W · 141 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	6c	1,167$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.86	122	23%28 W · 94 L	+12.1wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfe3…1835backed Yes	7c	1,162$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.67	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed Yes	3c	1,112$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef1…7127backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes	4c	1,100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa3…85cbbacked Yes	1c	1,091$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94dd…7b9ebacked Yes	4c	1,088$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f2…e0eabacked Yes	40c	1,082$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes	12c	1,080$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.43	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8861…a0fdbacked Yes	7c	1,067$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbe…3028backed Yes	10c	1,039$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+115.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a6…ecacbacked Yes	3c	1,031$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…87cbbacked Yes	26c	1,004$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes	15c	1,000$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.58	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-5.2wins	-0.24per pick	33cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	197	6.6%13 W · 184 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb3…4268backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	74	21.6%16 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes	16c	999.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a4…6eb6backed No	76c	960.63$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.44	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Yes	34c	947.34$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.83	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f57…3272backed Yes	16c	940.3$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb8…4579backed Yes	11c	938.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae2…f01abacked Yes	9c	929.53$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes	15c	926.86$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.41	90	40%36 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x943c…efe0backed Yes	8c	911.32$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.31	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…6fd5backed Yes	12c	890$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	4c	886.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	242	34.3%83 W · 159 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4857…9077backed Yes	11c	880.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe023…2669backed Yes	5c	880.22$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…0501backed Yes	17c	876.92$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1e…3760backed Yes	11c	876.84$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?this page
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?No won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event