TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2362…6fd5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 58 out of 100; worst IPO at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$781.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$266
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$195.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$779.39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,751Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$937.57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$203.87
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,071.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,788.7
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.48
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.1
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.34
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$11.33
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.85
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$44.2
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$82.8
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.24
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$53.4
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$17.4
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$62
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.34
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+411.1%+$242.13
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.44
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$689.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.