Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de11706e7f6d31eddc745b50cb521c1536ae59d123419dd87e11421e3f5d208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,306,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,283,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 72c | 42,414$30,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,891.99 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 16c | 38,931$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.5 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 15c | 23,686$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.32 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…d263backed Yes | 0c | 23,452$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…8e23backed No | 66c | 19,323$12,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,514.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed No | 78c | 16,408$12,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…610cbacked Yes | 29c | 15,002$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.39 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 64c | 14,935$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.82 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 32c | 14,851$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.06 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 13,589$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.34 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…89bbbacked Yes | 36c | 12,723$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.21 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 74c | 12,561$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.07 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 70c | 11,969$8,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.48 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 70c | 11,806$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.96 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 77c | 10,770$8,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.79 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…a4a3backed Yes | 30c | 9,558$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.21 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 26c | 9,541$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 26c | 9,483$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.23 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…6129backed Yes | 20c | 9,206$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a0…65f7backed Yes | 20c | 9,131$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 8,728$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.93 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 51c | 8,340$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.19 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 61c | 7,905$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.37 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 23c | 7,765$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.87 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…0e3dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,361$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 75c | 7,078$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…27a3backed Yes | 5c | 6,879$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…7f58backed Yes | 18c | 6,704$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 70c | 6,500$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.46 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 74c | 6,305$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.31 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 27c | 6,075$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.16 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 23c | 6,074$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…c744backed No | 74c | 5,959$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 21c | 5,876$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.6 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…f55cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,793$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…aa3cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,735$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 55c | 5,675$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.03 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…fcbfbacked Yes | 28c | 5,644$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed Yes | 23c | 5,511$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.68 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed No | 71c | 5,490$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.69 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 70c | 4,660$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.54 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,516$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed No | 69c | 4,343$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.44 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…6b22backed Yes | 9c | 4,338$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…8bb4backed Yes | 47c | 4,285$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…07dcbacked No | 73c | 4,204$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…838abacked Yes | 26c | 4,202$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 28c | 4,188$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 66c | 4,001$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.74 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,609$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.68 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 30c | 3,534$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.04 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.87 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…df85backed Yes | 40c | 3,498$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…fe18backed No | 68c | 3,487$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.19 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…f818backed Yes | 30c | 3,449$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.52 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 35c | 3,427$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…734bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,419$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 66c | 3,376$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.69 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…f6bfbacked No | 75c | 3,351$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Yes | 30c | 3,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,232$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 67c | 3,200$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.89 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 56c | 3,128$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed No | 76c | 3,115$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 2c | 3,021$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e81…5599backed Yes | 25c | 3,014$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.24 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…1e15backed Yes | 28c | 2,860$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 63c | 2,840$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…2031backed Yes | 35c | 2,832$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…dee1backed Yes | 28c | 2,766$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 12c | 2,752$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 18c | 2,736$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 18c | 2,729$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked No | 70c | 2,727$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…c2e2backed Yes | 37c | 2,721$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,705$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…a177backed Yes | 1c | 2,637$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 1cpaid | +921.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 74c | 2,622$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…2446backed Yes | 57c | 2,617$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…5e4ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,616$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 70c | 2,554$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.36 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…c690backed Yes | 50c | 2,540$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9606backed Yes | 24c | 2,510$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.61 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…02b7backed No | 74c | 2,508$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.55 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,498$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 55c | 2,481$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.5 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 74c | 2,466$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.63 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,445$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…a68dbacked No | 61c | 2,426$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…745fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,400$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…6a27backed Yes | 42c | 2,388$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…1867backed Yes | 10c | 2,332$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 73c | 2,311$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.47 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 17c | 2,308$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.81 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…2f33backed Yes | 40c | 2,255$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 23c | 2,251$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.69 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a82…a2c8backed Yes | 2c | 2,233$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…9818backed Yes | 20c | 2,191$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?this page
- Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.