TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92cd…9740

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$48
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.63
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.99
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$289.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.42
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,756.08
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12,860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$3,548.02
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$528
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.55
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40%+$314.61
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.6
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$3,320
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$3,512.88
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,049.6%+$13,084.42
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,730Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+246.8%+$4,269.99
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,593Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+414.4%+$10,745.74
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$251.75
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$88.95
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$190
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.98
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$126
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$154
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.6
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$139.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$156.17
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$67.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.2
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$23.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$163.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$125.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.