Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf306854808eb73447e3fd8cd3736377b23e0e9e08234909fdb486b47462c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 76c | 19,718$14,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,969.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked No | 2c | 11,767$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 35c | 11,274$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 47c | 10,870$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.11 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 58c | 8,570$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.15 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed No | 54c | 8,258$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6062…4084backed No | 74c | 7,759$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…e462backed Yes | 44c | 7,651$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.42 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 71c | 7,222$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.04 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…3479backed Yes | 62c | 7,222$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 12c | 7,000$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 37c | 6,879$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.07 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 15c | 6,292$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.27 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 45c | 5,900$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.57 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 70c | 4,652$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.09 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 19c | 4,628$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.9 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 4,433$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.28 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…9914backed No | 3c | 3,919$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…838abacked Yes | 52c | 3,879$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…facabacked No | 6c | 3,323$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked No | 75c | 3,282$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed No | 56c | 3,163$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 4c | 3,128$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…f55cbacked No | 16c | 3,127$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.95 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…9314backed No | 54c | 3,116$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.42 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.99 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 49c | 2,873$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.84 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 19c | 2,829$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.18 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 4c | 2,821$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,783$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.64 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf00d…a887backed No | 7c | 2,766$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9606backed Yes | 23c | 2,667$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.38 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 16c | 2,376$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.49 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 68c | 2,346$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.09 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 41c | 2,300$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.98 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b74…4127backed Yes | 54c | 2,240$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.08 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 20c | 2,227$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…9eeebacked No | 2c | 2,103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 39c | 1,997$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.9 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 67c | 1,956$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.64 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…058dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,900$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 44c | 1,883$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.13 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…8444backed No | 55c | 1,815$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 39c | 1,806$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.08 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 24c | 1,800$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…0cc2backed No | 69c | 1,730$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…e6fdbacked No | 6c | 1,709$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…6749backed No | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…d982backed Yes | 36c | 1,669$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 47c | 1,640$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.25 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 31c | 1,614$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 50c | 1,613$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.22 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,609$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 44c | 1,603$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.68 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 55c | 1,589$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.94 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…734bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,551$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 1,539$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…d3cebacked Yes | 30c | 1,538$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…8e0ebacked No | 70c | 1,440$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 11c | 1,413$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed No | 59c | 1,392$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 23c | 1,349$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.79 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 69c | 1,313$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.27 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,302$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.07 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 54c | 1,300$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 74c | 1,300$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 45c | 1,275$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.61 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2740…7171backed Yes | 42c | 1,252$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…89b4backed Yes | 65c | 1,250$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…fc98backed Yes | 37c | 1,250$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed No | 51c | 1,221$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,221$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.77 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 61c | 1,200$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.18 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 23c | 1,157$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.33 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0a00backed Yes | 26c | 1,140$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…55cebacked No | 69c | 1,110$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed No | 3c | 1,108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 31c | 1,092$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.62 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.66 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 21c | 1,051$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.36 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No | 6c | 1,044$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…a31ebacked No | 25c | 1,044$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…9a07backed No | 2c | 1,032$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Yes | 25c | 1,031$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 22c | 1,011$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 44c | 1,009$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.36 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 35c | 1,006$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.15 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…bfaebacked No | 80c | 1,003$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…4b6ebacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…821dbacked No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…3075backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…c2e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?this page
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No won
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.