TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91fc…0109

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
430
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11551.3%59 W · 56 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365.35
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$172.17
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$199.5
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$399.6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,674.75
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$662.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$249
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$514.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$533.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$9,094.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,774Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$4,302.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$2,819.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$2,910.81
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$336.69
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$166.68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69%+$346.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$710.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$1,239.16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,710.2
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT7847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$111.34
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.4
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.86
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.78
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69%+$509.04
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$330.34
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.79
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.03
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$184.56
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$153.61
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,712Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$607.06
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$461.69
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78%+$979.02
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.74
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$279.59
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$1,117.98
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$226.64
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$85.31
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+182.3%+$452
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$438.37
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,466.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$330
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$768.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+257.9%+$1,231.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$635.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.94
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$663.87
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$480.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$146.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$376.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$1,032.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$40.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$203.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$900.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,451.17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.93
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.1
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$324.1
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+344%+$1,609.7
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+289.8%+$2,265.09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.2%+$116.69
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.21
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+43.5%+$88.63
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+68.2%+$15.82
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+316.7%+$151.99
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.79
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$46.3
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,121.1
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$96.23
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$355.17
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.5
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$48.24
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.48
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$35.2
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.19
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$71.34
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29%+$214.61
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.65
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$625
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$132.4
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$135.34
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$598.84
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$237.4
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$152.05
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.2
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+208.1%+$1,501.48
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.06
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.69
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$281.01
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+84.8%+$46.93
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$169.24
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.72
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$117.84
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$102.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$228.02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$46.6
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$217.49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.8%+$73.8
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+181.6%+$194.46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$275.91
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$62.9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+150.8%+$258.85
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$79.49
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$159.95
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$147.63
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$21.47
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+174.1%+$352.49
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$20
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.03
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+101.7%+$88.79
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.07
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.04
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$8.68
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$2,470.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.67
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$158.4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.7%+$177.27
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$286.89
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,321.94
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.24
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+32.2%+$250.1
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.1%+$45.6
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.03
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.17
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$10.82
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+157.8%+$66.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$41.31
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.5%+$502.3
Aster all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.97
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$113.23
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$69.57
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.58
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.2%+$58.3
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$298.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+225.8%+$619.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+102.7%+$193.08
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69%+$96.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.76
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$401.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+124%+$934.94
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220.7
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$779.18
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$421.46
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.61
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.5%+$81.71
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$475.21
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$147.21
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+133.4%+$302.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+121.3%+$380.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$647.62
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+147.8%+$3,326.1
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+218.1%+$142.19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.42
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+198.5%+$232.76
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$68
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$845.74
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$102.89
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+130.5%+$290.15
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$269.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+328.6%+$460
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.39
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+197.2%+$923.35
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$147.94
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$185.63
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+148.3%+$76.1
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$132.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$299.5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$406.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$559.8
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$66.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+275.8%+$245.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+105.4%+$81.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$56.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.4%+$29.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$91.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$163
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.